Lusitania FC vs Canelas 2010 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 0
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
LUS
35%
28%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
34%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 0
LUS
34%
28%
38%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LUS
0 - 4
ESP
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
AMA
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MAR
4 - 3
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
34%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
VCO
0 - 3
CAN
9%
18%
74%
|
37 | 9 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 0
SAN
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |