Lusitania FC vs Arouca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
57%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
FEL
1 - 1
LUS
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
PED
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
AVE
8%
16%
77%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
BMA
2 - 3
LUS
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
LUS
74%
18%
8%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
AMA
74%
18%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TRO
1 - 2
ARO
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ARO
1 - 0
ESP
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 0
LUS
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
ARO
2 - 1
VIT
19%
22%
59%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |