Lusitania FC vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
TRO
0 - 0
LUS
25%
26%
49%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAN
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ESP
1 - 1
LUS
52%
26%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LUS
1 - 1
COI
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUS
11%
21%
68%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
AMA
1 - 1
GON
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
AMA
0 - 0
TRO
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
VAL
1 - 2
AMA
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
AMA
0 - 0
CAN
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
LUS
2 - 2
AMA
52%
24%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |