Lusitania FC vs Academico Viseu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
TRO
36%
28%
35%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
10 - 0
REG
70%
17%
14%
|
46 | 15 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 3
LUS
24%
27%
49%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
VAR
3 - 0
LUS
52%
26%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
VIA
64%
21%
14%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Academico Viseu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
OLI
2 - 2
ACV
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACV
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ACV
2 - 0
FEI
35%
27%
37%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TON
2 - 2
ACV
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ACV
1 - 1
VIL
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |