Lusitania FC Sub 19 vs Paços de Ferreira Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitania FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FAM
8 - 2
LUS
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
GFC
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 1
LUS
39%
25%
37%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
2 - 0
LUS
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
PAÇ
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BRG
2 - 1
PAÇ
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
MAR
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
62%
19%
18%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
VIZ
3 - 3
PAÇ
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |