Lushnja vs Tomori Berat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
7º
12º
10º
17
3º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
FLA
3 - 0
LUS
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 0
BUR
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 3
LUS
26%
24%
51%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ELB
3 - 2
LUS
28%
24%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
LUS
2 - 1
BES
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tomori Berat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 1
VOR
11%
19%
70%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KRU
3 - 1
TOM
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 3
LUS
26%
24%
51%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TOM
0 - 2
BYL
15%
24%
62%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LUZ
2 - 0
TOM
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |