Cup 1/16
Global 4-3
Lushnja vs Tërbuni Pukë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 1
BUR
61%
23%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUS
3 - 2
BES
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
TOM
2 - 1
LUS
44%
27%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
SHK
0 - 3
LUS
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
LUS
1 - 0
APO
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Tërbuni Pukë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TER
2 - 1
TOM
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BUR
1 - 1
TER
38%
29%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TER
1 - 1
KFS
25%
28%
47%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
APO
1 - 0
TER
60%
23%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TER
2 - 0
KOR
27%
30%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |