Lushnja vs Naftëtari Kuçovë analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
HIM
2 - 1
LUS
25%
30%
46%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
GRA
67%
21%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
MAM
2 - 3
LUS
28%
30%
42%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
LUS
0 - 1
POG
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ILI
0 - 1
LUS
32%
28%
39%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Naftëtari Kuçovë
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
NAF
1 - 2
PAR
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
KAM
2 - 1
NAF
49%
27%
25%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
NAF
0 - 1
BES
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
NAF
1 - 0
HIM
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
NAF
45%
27%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |