Cup Last 16
Global 5-3
Lushnja vs Himara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LUS
1 - 0
BES
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
BYL
1 - 1
LUS
60%
23%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
HIM
3 - 2
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LUS
2 - 0
PAR
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
KRU
2 - 0
LUS
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Himara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
KAM
1 - 6
HIM
47%
26%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
HIM
0 - 0
APO
33%
28%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
HIM
3 - 2
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
POG
2 - 1
HIM
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
HIM
1 - 3
MAM
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |