Lushnja vs Erzeni Shijak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
8º
8º
8
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 54 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 31 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 28 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 28 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 21 |
9º
|
76% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 20 |
10º
|
76% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
78% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
LUS
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LUS
0 - 0
BES
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KRU
2 - 1
LUS
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
LUS
1 - 0
POG
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Erzeni Shijak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ERZ
2 - 3
KRU
44%
25%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POG
1 - 0
ERZ
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 2
KOR
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
KFV
1 - 0
ERZ
41%
25%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 2
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |