Lusaka Celtic vs Red Arrows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusaka Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
NCH
1 - 2
LUC
49%
26%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 1
POW
49%
25%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
LEO
2 - 0
LUC
51%
25%
25%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
LUD
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 4
ZAN
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2006 |
RED
2 - 1
CFC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2006 |
ZES
0 - 0
RED
50%
25%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
RED
3 - 2
NAT
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2006 |
RED
0 - 1
KAB
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
KON
2 - 1
RED
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |