Luqa St. Andrew's vs Swieqi United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PIE
1 - 0
LUQ
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LUQ
2 - 2
SAI
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 0
LUQ
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LUQ
1 - 3
ZAB
20%
25%
56%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
LUQ
0 - 3
FUN
32%
25%
43%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Swieqi United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MEL
4 - 1
SWI
43%
26%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SWI
1 - 1
SEN
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2023 |
SGC
1 - 5
SWI
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ZEJ
0 - 1
SWI
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SWI
0 - 1
ZEB
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |