Lupo-Martini vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupo-Martini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
LUP
0 - 1
HAM
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
GER
2 - 1
LUP
42%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
LUP
0 - 2
HAN
54%
23%
24%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LUP
1 - 0
BOR
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BSV
0 - 0
LUP
42%
26%
32%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
VFB
2 - 0
STP
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
STP
1 - 0
DRO
26%
26%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
STP
0 - 0
HAN
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
STP
1 - 3
HAM
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
EIC
3 - 0
STP
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |