Lupo-Martini vs TuS Celle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupo-Martini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ADF
1 - 3
LUP
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LUP
2 - 0
AHA
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SVG
1 - 0
LUP
17%
19%
64%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
LUP
4 - 0
SVE
35%
22%
43%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
TBU
3 - 1
LUP
24%
23%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
TuS Celle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 0
GIF
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
VFL
4 - 0
CEL
79%
14%
7%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 8
ENM
21%
22%
57%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
TUB
1 - 3
CEL
82%
11%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEL
1 - 1
HEE
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |