Lupa Roma vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
62.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LRO
1 - 2
PIA
31%
27%
42%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
TER
4 - 3
LRO
62%
22%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ACP
1 - 2
LRO
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
LRO
0 - 0
GER
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
PON
0 - 0
LRO
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
5 - 1
ACP
77%
16%
7%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
LIV
0 - 0
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIT
1 - 1
LIV
32%
25%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARZ
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SIE
1 - 0
LIV
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |