Lupa Roma vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
LRO
20%
21%
60%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
LRO
1 - 0
MON
36%
23%
42%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ULD
2 - 1
LRO
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
LRO
2 - 2
FLA
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 2
LRO
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
APR
3 - 1
BUD
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
TRA
2 - 0
APR
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
APR
3 - 0
OST
68%
18%
14%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 1
APR
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
APR
2 - 0
LAN
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |