Lupa Roma vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
61.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LRO
3 - 1
APR
60%
21%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ACC
1 - 1
LRO
28%
22%
50%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LRO
1 - 0
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
LRO
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LRO
3 - 0
AUR
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PRO
83%
12%
6%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SSD
0 - 2
ARZ
13%
17%
70%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ARZ
0 - 1
MPO
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
LIV
3 - 4
ARZ
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
GHI
0 - 0
ARZ
20%
23%
56%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |