Lupa Cast Rom vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
63.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
JUS
4 - 2
LCR
82%
12%
5%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 1
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAT
1 - 0
LCR
84%
11%
5%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
LCR
1 - 2
CAS
16%
22%
62%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
LCR
68%
21%
12%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
4 - 1
ISC
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
PAG
4 - 0
MAT
21%
27%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MAT
2 - 3
ASM
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
LEC
1 - 2
MAT
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 0
MAR
69%
21%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |