Lupa Cast Rom vs Fidelis Andria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
LCR
55%
24%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 0
ASM
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
LCR
70%
19%
10%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
ISC
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
1 - 1
LEC
17%
21%
62%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
FIA
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 1
PAG
69%
20%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 0
FIA
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
LEC
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
CAT
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |