Lupa Cast Rom vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
62%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 0
LCR
68%
21%
12%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 2
NUO
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
AKR
3 - 0
LCR
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
LCR
0 - 1
MES
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
USF
4 - 1
LCR
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
4 - 0
AKR
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
CAS
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
6 - 0
CAS
52%
27%
22%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 0
ISC
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 1
CAS
72%
18%
10%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |