Lupa Cast Rom vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lupa Cast Rom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 0
LCR
40%
26%
35%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
LCR
3 - 0
SAS
49%
25%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2015 |
SAS
1 - 1
LCR
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
OLB
3 - 1
LCR
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LCR
1 - 1
SAN
64%
20%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 1
TUT
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
JUS
59%
24%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 1
BEN
18%
25%
57%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MES
78%
16%
6%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |