Lunéville vs Forbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunéville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 2
LUN
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
LUN
1 - 1
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ILL
3 - 0
LUN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -3 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUN
3 - 0
STP
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
JAR
0 - 2
LUN
49%
22%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DIJ
2 - 0
FOR
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
VES
5 - 0
FOR
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
TRO
24%
24%
53%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BSU
3 - 1
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |