Lüner vs Wattenscheid 09 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lüner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
HAS
1 - 2
LSV
56%
23%
21%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LSV
0 - 1
GUT
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SPR
1 - 1
LSV
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LSV
1 - 4
LIP
22%
24%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
LSV
0 - 1
ABI
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
WAT
2 - 1
BOC
27%
24%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ERH
1 - 2
WAT
43%
25%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2003 |
WAT
1 - 1
SPS
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
HUL
3 - 2
WAT
40%
25%
35%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
WAT
3 - 0
VER
20%
22%
58%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +5 |