Lüner vs Schermbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
57.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lüner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
STA
4 - 2
LSV
80%
14%
5%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LSV
2 - 5
KOR
21%
23%
56%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SVE
4 - 0
LSV
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LSV
2 - 3
FBI
17%
22%
62%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
ABI
5 - 3
LSV
82%
12%
5%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 1
BOC
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
ERH
1 - 3
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SCH
3 - 0
SPS
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
HUL
2 - 2
SCH
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2004 |
SCH
1 - 0
SVE
34%
25%
41%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +2 |