Lüner vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-68%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lüner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
LIP
3 - 0
LSV
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
LSV
0 - 1
SPL
65%
20%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
SOI
0 - 2
LSV
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
LSV
3 - 6
S04
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
ERH
0 - 0
LSV
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
PAD
2 - 0
WHE
70%
18%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
TSG
3 - 4
PAD
17%
24%
59%
|
52 | 29 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
PAD
4 - 2
STA
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
BOC
1 - 3
PAD
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
PAD
4 - 0
SCH
72%
18%
10%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | 0 |