Lüner vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
57.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-72%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lüner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
SPR
1 - 1
LSV
69%
18%
13%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LSV
1 - 4
LIP
22%
24%
55%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
LSV
0 - 1
ABI
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BOC
3 - 0
LSV
73%
18%
10%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
LSV
0 - 2
ERH
37%
25%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
GUT
0 - 3
BOC
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ERH
3 - 2
GUT
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
GUT
2 - 1
SPS
71%
17%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
HUL
0 - 2
GUT
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
GUT
3 - 2
VER
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |