Lüner vs Gutersloh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
57.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-69%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lüner
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SVE
1 - 2
LSV
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
TUH
1 - 1
LSV
64%
19%
18%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LSV
0 - 3
SPR
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
LIP
2 - 0
LSV
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
LSV
2 - 1
HUL
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Gutersloh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
GUT
1 - 1
ERH
60%
22%
19%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
GUT
2 - 0
SVE
80%
14%
7%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
TUH
1 - 1
GUT
23%
23%
55%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
GUT
4 - 0
STA
70%
19%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
FBI
1 - 2
GUT
18%
21%
62%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |