Lunds vs Onsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
6º
2º
17
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
83% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 99.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
JON
3 - 1
LBK
29%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LBK
4 - 2
OSK
66%
20%
13%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 2
LBK
39%
25%
37%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LBK
4 - 1
OLY
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 4
LBK
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
OBK
1 - 1
ANG
25%
23%
52%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NOR
3 - 3
OBK
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
OBK
0 - 2
OLY
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 1
OBK
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 70 | 30 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OBK
1 - 2
JON
17%
21%
62%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |