Lunds vs Norrby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
62.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
VIM
0 - 8
LBK
14%
19%
67%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
LBK
1 - 0
LIN
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
HAS
3 - 2
LBK
39%
24%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 3
LBK
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PRE
1 - 3
LBK
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Norrby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 3
DAL
25%
25%
50%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
TRE
5 - 1
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
SYR
3 - 4
NOR
46%
24%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
NOR
3 - 2
HEL
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2017 |
ORG
2 - 1
NOR
47%
24%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |