Lunds vs Motala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LBK
4 - 4
NOR
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
KRI
0 - 2
LBK
35%
26%
40%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
LBK
4 - 2
ORG
39%
26%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SKO
1 - 2
LBK
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2014 |
LBK
2 - 0
ISH
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Motala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TRE
3 - 1
MOT
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 0
IKO
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
UTS
3 - 2
MOT
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
QVI
55%
22%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2014 |
OSK
2 - 2
MOT
33%
24%
43%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |