Lunds vs Eskilsminne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
6º
2º
39
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 65 |
1º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
83% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 43 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 40 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 38 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
18.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 21 |
16º
|
98% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
16.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
83% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LJU
0 - 4
LBK
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
1 - 0
ROS
65%
20%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
4 - 1
HOG
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
3 - 0
LBK
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
LBK
2 - 0
IFK
77%
15%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Eskilsminne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 1
ESK
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ESK
0 - 0
TVA
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 1
ESK
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
ESK
4 - 1
HIT
79%
13%
7%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESK
3 - 1
OLY
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |