Lunds vs Ariana FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
2º
29
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
6% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lunds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
LBK
4 - 2
ANG
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LBK
1 - 1
OLY
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
LBK
2 - 2
TOR
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FAL
0 - 1
LBK
64%
20%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
LBK
2 - 1
TIK
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
5 - 0
OBK
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
AFC
41%
23%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
JON
1 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESK
2 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
LJU
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |