Luki-Energiya vs Rodina Moskva III analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
48.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
12º
16º
13º
34
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luki-Energiya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2024 |
LUK
0 - 1
TVE
51%
24%
26%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FBK
1 - 0
LUK
56%
24%
21%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
LUK
1 - 1
ZNA
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FYK
0 - 1
LUK
29%
24%
48%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LUK
0 - 2
TOR
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Rodina Moskva III
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
ROM
2 - 0
FBK
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ZNA
4 - 2
ROM
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ROM
3 - 0
FYK
63%
19%
17%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 2
ROM
54%
24%
23%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ROM
2 - 0
DIN
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | +4 |