Luján vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 1
LUJ
43%
26%
31%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LUJ
0 - 1
RPI
36%
30%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
LUJ
20%
26%
54%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ESP
40%
27%
33%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MID
0 - 2
LUJ
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
VIC
22%
24%
55%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 0
POR
71%
20%
10%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
LUJ
20%
26%
54%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
CAA
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |