Luján vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
17.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 2
LUJ
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
LUJ
1 - 1
MID
48%
26%
27%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 0
LUJ
58%
23%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
LUJ
1 - 0
VIC
56%
24%
21%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
LAM
0 - 0
LUJ
37%
28%
36%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 3
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
POR
0 - 0
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
LAM
1 - 0
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
RPI
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |