Luján vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
LUJ
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
LUJ
1 - 0
ESP
58%
23%
20%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MID
0 - 2
LUJ
48%
25%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
ALE
0 - 2
LUJ
41%
26%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2020 |
LUJ
2 - 1
DOC
27%
25%
48%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
ALE
33%
26%
41%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
EXC
29%
25%
46%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
MID
23%
25%
52%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
RPI
1 - 1
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | +1 |