Luján vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 2
LUJ
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
LUJ
0 - 0
CCO
42%
26%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
BER
0 - 0
LUJ
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2018 |
LUJ
3 - 2
VIC
37%
26%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
LUJ
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
POR
2 - 2
SBA
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MER
1 - 1
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
POR
0 - 4
VSC
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -4 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
ITU
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2018 |
CCO
0 - 1
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |