Luján vs Midland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+174%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
STM
3 - 0
LUJ
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
LUJ
1 - 3
LAF
43%
29%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 0
LUJ
42%
29%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
LUJ
38%
29%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
LUJ
2 - 1
LAF
40%
29%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Midland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
MID
1 - 0
EXC
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 2
MID
48%
26%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
MID
1 - 1
LIN
49%
25%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CCO
0 - 1
MID
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BER
1 - 3
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |