Luján vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
LUJ
48%
26%
26%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
LUJ
0 - 1
MID
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
ESP
1 - 1
LUJ
54%
25%
22%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LUJ
2 - 0
CCO
52%
26%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 0
LUJ
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
EXC
2 - 1
VIC
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CLA
0 - 3
EXC
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 2
CAA
55%
24%
20%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
EXC
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
EXC
1 - 0
MID
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |