Luján vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
DOC
2 - 0
LUJ
75%
17%
8%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
LUJ
0 - 1
SMA
11%
20%
69%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ARQ
0 - 0
LUJ
74%
18%
8%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
LUJ
1 - 0
CAM
26%
27%
47%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 1
LUJ
70%
20%
10%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
LAF
2 - 1
CAD
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ARM
0 - 0
LAF
37%
28%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
LAF
1 - 2
LAM
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2015 |
SMG
1 - 4
LAF
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
LAF
0 - 0
TAL
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |