Luján vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
27.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAM
0 - 0
LUJ
42%
29%
30%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
EXC
2 - 0
LUJ
38%
29%
33%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
LUJ
2 - 1
LAF
40%
29%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAM
0 - 0
LUJ
44%
28%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
LUJ
0 - 1
LIN
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
LAF
2 - 0
EXC
56%
25%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
1 - 1
LAF
45%
29%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2014 |
LUJ
2 - 1
LAF
40%
29%
31%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
LIN
1 - 2
LAF
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
LAF
1 - 2
CCO
61%
23%
16%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |