Luján vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 2
LUJ
44%
30%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2012 |
LUJ
1 - 0
TAL
26%
27%
47%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
LUJ
58%
25%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2012 |
LUJ
1 - 1
LIN
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
MID
0 - 1
LUJ
48%
29%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 1
SMG
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 1
CAD
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 0
JJU
34%
27%
39%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 1
ALE
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAD
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |