LUIF vs Frem 1886 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
77.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LUIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
BJA
0 - 0
LUI
48%
21%
31%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2017 |
LUI
0 - 5
HOL
8%
14%
78%
|
6 | 45 | 39 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
LUI
0 - 2
RIS
11%
18%
71%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | -1 |
Matches
Frem 1886
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
FRE
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
FRE
0 - 1
B93
25%
25%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
FRE
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
AAF
3 - 1
FRE
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
FRE
1 - 0
SYD
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |