CD Lugo vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
51.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 0
LUG
48%
28%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FOZ
0 - 1
LUG
13%
24%
64%
|
67 | 6 | 61 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BOU
0 - 0
LUG
14%
24%
62%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 0
MIR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
EIB
1 - 0
LUG
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VAD
2 - 1
MLL
53%
26%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VAD
2 - 1
RAY
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
VAD
6 - 1
BUR
85%
13%
3%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
VAD
0 - 1
EIB
62%
23%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
CDG
0 - 2
VAD
9%
18%
72%
|
81 | 50 | 31 | 0 |