CD Lugo vs UP Langreo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
PPJ
1 - 1
LUG
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
LUG
0 - 0
FUE
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
LAL
1 - 2
LUG
32%
29%
40%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 2
PON
57%
24%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
RMC
4 - 0
LUG
63%
22%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
UP Langreo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1999 |
UPL
1 - 0
DEP
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
RCF
3 - 0
UPL
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
UPL
2 - 0
CAU
49%
26%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
CDM
4 - 2
UPL
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 1999 |
UPL
1 - 0
ROB
35%
27%
39%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |