CD Lugo vs Tenerife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
+2
9.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
33.3%
Draw
0-0
17.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.3%
31.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 0
DEP
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
HUE
1 - 0
LUG
67%
21%
12%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 0
ZAM
59%
26%
15%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
LUG
1 - 1
COM
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
LOG
1 - 1
LUG
54%
27%
19%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tenerife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDL
28%
25%
47%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 0
SSC
73%
18%
9%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
ATH
2 - 0
CDT
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
3 - 1
LPA
74%
15%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 1
UPL
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |