CD Lugo vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
48.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
REU
0 - 1
LUG
34%
30%
36%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ALM
1 - 0
LUG
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
LUG
1 - 2
RAY
28%
27%
45%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
HUE
3 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUG
3 - 1
CUL
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 0
ALC
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 2
CCF
68%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
GRA
2 - 1
SPO
44%
27%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 0
CDT
55%
23%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
FCB
2 - 1
SPO
23%
27%
51%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |