CD Lugo vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 5
LUG
12%
20%
68%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 0
LUG
50%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
BAR
48%
28%
24%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SES
0 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LUG
0 - 0
SDA
28%
28%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
SES
0 - 0
CLH
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SES
0 - 1
FCA
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 1
SES
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
SES
1 - 0
GER
70%
19%
12%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SES
0 - 1
LUG
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |