Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-2
CD Lugo vs SD Burela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1991 |
FCB
0 - 0
LUG
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
LUG
1 - 1
OSA
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
MER
3 - 1
LUG
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1991 |
OSA
1 - 0
LUG
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
LUG
0 - 3
FCB
34%
27%
39%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
SD Burela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1991 |
BUR
3 - 0
GON
82%
13%
5%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
BER
0 - 0
BUR
59%
23%
17%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1991 |
BUR
3 - 0
BET
76%
16%
8%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1991 |
BAR
0 - 0
BUR
29%
29%
43%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
BUR
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |