Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-2
CD Lugo vs UD Salamanca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
43.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
LUG
2 - 0
PON
53%
26%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
PON
1 - 0
LUG
73%
19%
9%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
LUG
5 - 0
SAN
83%
13%
4%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
LUG
3 - 0
CUL
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
ASP
0 - 0
LUG
46%
30%
24%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UD Salamanca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
RBU
0 - 1
SLA
46%
28%
25%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
SLA
1 - 1
MLL
46%
28%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
ALZ
0 - 0
SLA
31%
33%
37%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1988 |
SLA
2 - 1
PON
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
SLA
0 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |